Author: chris

Write a 1000-1500 word research paper that is referential informative and uses classification as an organizing pattern.

Write a 1000-1500 word research paper that is referential informative and uses classification as an organizing pattern. 1. You must have at least 5 sources which may be books, journals, newspapers, brochures or encyclopedias. Three sources can be internet. 2. Choose for a topic a city or physical or emotional disease that interests you. 3. You will be giving information on your topic in objective and thorough manner (referential and informative) and organizing your paper into different categories (classification). 4. Paper 5 is similar to paper 2 except researched. Your paper must have a minimum of 5 paragraphs which will include an introduction, 3 separate paragraphs of discussion of parts of your topic and a conclusion. You must have a topic statement in your first paragraph which you underline. Include a cover page with your name, paper title and paper number. 5. You must use the MLA system of documentation and have at least one citation for each of your sources. Your sources will be listed in the bibliography (works cited ) using MLA format( see assigned page sin Hnadbook). You must document (cite) all specific information whether quoted or paraphrased that you use in your paper. A possible paper format: • Paragraph 1–thesis and points to be made about subject •Paragraph 2–discussion of one point about topic •Paragraph 3–discussion of another point about topic •Paragraph 4–discussion of another point about topic •Paragraph 5–sum up points and relate them to thesis statement Examples online works cited entry: Sheppard,Lisa.”Fathers Involvement Shows Positive Outcomes.” Urban Programs Resource. University of Illinois,April.2001. Web. May 2014 “Why Fathers Are Getting Custody.” n.p .n.d.Web. May 2014 Grist, Stephanie. “Program Offers Help for Fathers.” Austin American Statesman 27April 1999:E4.InfoTrac Newspapers. Web. April 2014 Example of citations from online sources: (Sheppard) (Why) (Grist E4) Additional information on MLA format can be found at : library.austincc.edu/help/MLA

What are the various methods that we should use for forecasting?

EACH MODULE SHOULD BE A SEPERATE FILE MODULE 3 [PAPER&EXCEL] Virtual World EBBD EMAIL – for Internal Use Only To: You From: Danny Wilco <dwilco@ebbd.com> Subject: Re: Forecasting at EBBD The Management Team is all for your efforts to investigate EBBD’s forecasting situation. We want you to thoroughly analyze what we are doing, what other forecasting methods and techniques are available, and make a recommendation on how we should proceed. We are particularly interested in how to improve our short term forecasting on an annual, quarterly, and monthly basis. We also would like to know how we could do longer term forecasting, say over two or three years. And we want to know how we can generate quarterly inflation forecasts. The Management Team wants to know •What are the various methods that we should use? •Who will do the forecasting? •How will the forecasting methods be implemented? •Why should EBBD spend any money on this new methodology? Why do we care about improving our forecasting and why is it worth the costs to improve it? The report should provide an initial section on the background of the situation, assumptions that we need to make, discussion of your analysis of various forecasting methods, and then a recommendation with a justification as to why you are making the recommendation. One more thing – the Management Team might want you to make an oral presentation. So you should also prepare a draft version of a PowerPoint presentation. This does not need to be a finished product, but a draft version. The written report should be comprehensive and articulate. Send me the report and the draft PowerPoint when you have them finished. Let me know if you have any questions along the way. ~DW, VP LogOps. Learning Wizard Use the readings in the Background to familiarize yourself with forecasting and forecasting methods. You should also search for additional information pertaining to forecasting in logistics and distribution. Specific Information you need to identify to use in your report: •Why is forecasting important in a distribution company? What is it you are specifically forecasting and what is this used for? •Why is forecasting accuracy important? How accurate does a forecast need to be? •What is the difference between forecasting for existing product lines and for new products? •Why should companies spend time and money to improve forecasting accuracy? •How should a company use different methods but yet integrate these methods? •How does strategic planning fit in with forecasting (at least for long term forecasting/planning)? You should know the answers to these questions and use this information in your Report to Danny Wilco. Using the background information about EBBD’s forecasting situation and the information you obtain from the background readings and your research, write a report to Danny Wilco, addressing the questions that he posed. Then develop a draft Powerpoint presentation. Upload the Report into Case 2. Upload the draft Powerpoint into Additional Files in Module 2. Assignment Expectations of the Written Report – Be sure to write this report to your boss, Wilco. The report should thoroughly address these aspects in depth and breadth: •Problem situation: clearly elucidate the current situation at EBBD •Assumptions: assumptions that need to be made and critical evaluation •Evidence: identifying information about different forecasting methods relevant to the problem •Possible solutions: combinations of different methods and techniques to meet the requirements •Recommendations: which methods and techniques are best for which specified needs •Justification & Explanation: clear reasoning as to why the recommendations were made •Writing style & Organization: well-formed sentences and paragraphs, well organized with flow of reason, and good use of language that pertain to concepts and terminology •Use of references & Citations: at least four references. Appropriate use of APA Style is required in this paper. Expectations of the Draft Presentation The draft PowerPoint should address these aspects: •Organization: the deck has a cover slide and at least 4 content slides, and information is arranged in understandable order •Content: the deck uses bullet points that articulate and interpret key points of the report and shows relevant data, charts, graphs; notes are used in Note section of slides and possible themes of the presentation are suggested. MODULE 4 [EXCEL&PAPER] EBBD EMAIL – for Internal Use Only To: You From: Danny Wilco <dwilco@ebbd.com> Subject: Re: Deliveries clogging the loading dock area OK, here’s what I want to know: how often do we have more than 5 trucks, more than 6 trucks, and more than 7 trucks. What is the highest number of trucks we may have in the system with a 95% probability? And then, assuming the arrival rate of the deliveries does not change, what does the unload rate need to be so that we can service up to five trucks 95% of the time? In other words if we want a 95% probability of 5 or fewer trucks in the system at any one time, what does the unloading (service) rate need to be? Then, consider that we have two unloading teams, each able to unload trucks at the same rate. What does the unloading rate need to be for each team in order to ensure (100%) 5 or fewer trucks in the system at any time? I know we don’t have room for two unloading teams at this time, but there is a possibility we might make room in the future. Analyze this situation and determine what we need to know and give me report. At this point in time, I am looking only for the problem to be quantified and the unload rate determined for the current situation (single server) and possible two servers. Let me know if you have any questions. ~DW, VP LogOps. Learning Wizard If you have mastered the examples and exercises provided in the Background from the Queuing PowerPoint, you are ready to tackle the EBBD problem. The current situation is a Single Server situation. Enter the arrival rate and service rate to calculate the pertinent queuing system state data. Find out the probabilities of 5 or more trucks in the system, then 6, then 7. Then use trial and error to find the greatest number of trucks or less that can be in the system with 95% (or as close to 95%). For the Multi-server problem you will need to use a similar process. Record the results of your calculations and save the Excel file. Then write your report. Upload the Report to Case 4. Upload the Excel file with the solution to Additional Files in Module 4. Assignment Expectations of the written report – write the report to your boss, Danny Wilco. The report should thoroughly address these aspects in depth and breadth: •Problem situation: clearly elucidate the problem situation at EBBD •Assumptions: what are the assumptions that need to be made and your critical evaluation •Solution: discuss how you developed the Solver solution. Keep in mind that your audience is not too technical and do not need a lot of detail on this. ◦Make sure you attach the Excel file. ◦You should refer to the Excel file when necessary. •Explanation: clear articulation of the results that you obtain, based on what Mr. Wilco is asking for. •Conclusion: Even though Mr. Wilco is not asking for a conclusion, you should determine if there is a conclusion to this situation and elucidate what it is. •Writing style & Organization: well-formed sentences and paragraphs, well organized with flow of reason, and good use of language that pertain to concepts and terminology •Use of references & citations: If you use references, be sure to include appropriate use of citations in the paper and reference list (APA is required).

Use the Putnam Wilson Conflict Behavior Scale and the theoretical background of Hocker/Wilmot to write a description of your conflict style in personal and public settings.

Personal Conflict Style. Use the Putnam Wilson Conflict Behavior Scale and the theoretical background of Hocker/Wilmot (Chapter 5) to write a description of your conflict style in personal and public settings. Use as data what others say about your style and what you think about your style. Give the Conflict Behavior Scale to three other people in addition to yourself to account for your own and others ‘perceptions of your style. Interview one other person who knows your style through personal experience. The paper should be typed and double-spaced. Follow the APA guidelines for your paper, including title page, referring to and quoting from published works and reference list (if applicable). The paper should be 3-5 pages typed and double-spaced. Your paper must address the following issues: a. Differences between your own and others’ perceptions b. what your style triggers in others c. positive and negative features of your style d. how flexible you are in choice of style e. where you learned your style I have uploaded two documents to the file “Personal Conflict Paper”. The first is the quiz you will take on pages 147-148 in the Interpersonal Conflict book follow the instructions exactly as given in book for quiz and complete for person A and person B. You are the only one that takes the quiz. The second is a description of styles which is what you will give to at least one person that is close to you. Have them read over and describe what style they think you are as part of interview. Do not disclose to them what your styles are after you take the quiz. If you have any questions please let me know. You do not have to turn in your actual quiz or interview notes just write about them in the content of your paper.

Write an argumentation essay according to the instructions in class agreeing or disagreeing with Battisoni, Alyssa. “The Public Overwhelmingly Wants It: Why Is Taxing the Rich So Hard?”

Write an argumentation essay according to the instructions in class agreeing or disagreeing with Battisoni, Alyssa. “The Public Overwhelmingly Wants It: Why Is Taxing the Rich So Hard?” Writing Today, 2nd ed. Eds. Richard Johnson-Sheehan, Charles Paine. Boston: Pearson, 2013. 765-768. THIS READING HANDED OUT IN CLASS ON TUESDAY SEPTEMBER 22, WILL ALSO BE THE BASIS OF THE MIDTERM. Outline of the essay will be brainstormed in class THURSDAY OCT 14 after discussing active reading of the article and its information. I will put the outline below. Argumentation notes also given out in class. I. Introduce Battisoni and the article with its full title and also in a few sentences discuss the key opinions of the writer. Focus on two opinions that you want to argue with, and mention them briefly. NO NEED TO QUOTE THEM HERE BUT DO REMEMBER TO IDENTIFY BATTISONI AND THE TITLE OF THE ARTICLE FULLY II. Quote one of the opinions Battisoni states and explain why she feels the way she does. Argue for or against this opinion. [NOTE YOU CAN AGREE AND DISAGREE WITH THE OPINION, JUST WRITE LOGICALLY AND FACTUALLY AND BACK YOUR OPINION WITH FACTS. III. Quote the other one of the opinions Battisoni states and explain why she feels the way she does. Argue for or against this opinion. [NOTE YOU CAN AGREE AND DISAGREE WITH THE OPINION, JUST WRITE LOGICALLY AND FACTUALLY AND BACK YOUR OPINION WITH FACTS. IV. This is the RESPONSE — the part where you intelligently discuss the reasons for these opinions and their controversy. If possible, come to an intelligent resolution of the problems based on what you know. WRITE LOGICALLY AND FACTUALLY AND BACK YOUR OPINION WITH FACTS. V. An elegant conclusion pointing to the growing questions and discussions posed by Battisoni’s research and where possible solutions may present themselves. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncFLa9USVnQ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QPKKQnijnsM https://alamo.instructure.com/courses/942490/files/57877249/download